Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. 

This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.

If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. 

Bad Bunny

Drake

Taylor Swift

Top Spotify Artist 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya announces that she is pregnant between market creation, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Zendaya or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
 
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

400k-450k

350k-400k

450k+

Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. 

If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Shakira

Coldplay

Justin Bieber

Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp. 

Olivia Dean

Beyonce

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in June?

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled June 19.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 19 by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

Beat It - Michael Jackson

#1 Spotify Song

#1 song on Spotify this week? (June 19)

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled June 19.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 19 by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

Top US Spotify Song

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (June 19)

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 20, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.


I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo

Billboard #1 Song

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 20

Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.

If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber and/or Hailey Bieber announce their intention to legally separate or divorce between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Justin Bieber, Hailey Bieber, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the city announced to host Eurovision 2027.

This market will resolve immediately based on the official announcement for which city will host Eurovision 2027, regardless of whether that decision is later changed or the city hosts the event.

If no decision is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from Eurovision, including https://www.eurovision.com/, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Sofia

Burgas

Varna

Eurovision 2027 City

If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.

Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.

A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Megan Thee Stallion is engaged to be married to Klay Thompson by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Megan Thee Stallion and/or Klay Thompson or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Charli XCX officially releases a new album between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Confirmation must come directly from Kim Kardashian or Lewis Hamilton or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.

Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

The Weeknd

Gracie Abrams

Which artists will have #1 hits in June?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy perry announces that she is pregnant between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Katy Perry or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on June 30, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.

Bruno Mars

#2 Spotify artist in June?

This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Ariana Grande's album "Petal".

To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music.

If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Mariah Carey

Zara Larsson

Who will be featured on Petal?

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered.

If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive.

If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". 

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks

CHÉVERE - ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro

2026 Song of the Summer

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.

If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.

A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.

The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). 