This market will resolve to "Yes" if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
 
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

400k-450k

350k-400k

450k+

Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. 

If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Shakira

Coldplay

Justin Bieber

Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp. 

Drake

Olivia Dean

Beyonce

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in June?

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 20, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.


I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo

Billboard #1 Song

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 20

Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.

If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau are engaged to be married by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Perry and Trudeau have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry and/or Justin Trudeau or one of their official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.



Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rahm Emanuel

Kamala Harris

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Tucker Carlson

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding takes place at any location in Manhattan, New York City. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber and/or Hailey Bieber announce their intention to legally separate or divorce between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Justin Bieber, Hailey Bieber, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?

If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.

Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.

A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.

Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.

Another Elon baby by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Megan Thee Stallion is engaged to be married to Klay Thompson by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Megan Thee Stallion and/or Klay Thompson or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Charli XCX officially releases a new album between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred.

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. 

The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will s1mple retire by June 30?

The market resolves to "Yes" if Sebastian "Forsen" Fors is officially announced as signed or recruited by an LCK organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A professional League of Legends LCK organization is any of the 10 franchised organizations that field a paid League of Legends roster in the LCK.

“Signs” refers to Forsen entering into a paid contract with an organization to compete in League of Legends for that organization. Trials or other relationships that do not include a signed professional playing contract will not count. Sponsorship agreements or other contracts that do not pay Forsen to compete in League of Legends for a specific organization will also not count.

A signed professional contract between Forsen and a qualifying LCK organization within this market’s timeframe will qualify even if its effective start date is after June 30, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the team involved and Forsen, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Confirmation must come directly from Kim Kardashian or Lewis Hamilton or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.

Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

The Weeknd

Gracie Abrams

Which artists will have #1 hits in June?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy perry announces that she is pregnant between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Katy Perry or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Ariana Grande's album "Petal".

To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music.

If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Celebrities