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Politics
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
$341.2M vol.
98%
December 3197%
August 31
Fed Decision in June?
$101.9M vol.
100%
No change<1%
25 bps decrease
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.1B vol.
23%
Gavin Newsom10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$56.4M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$628.4M vol.
16%
Marco Rubio15%
JD Vance
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$10.4M vol.
49%
Qatar40%
Switzerland
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$658.3M vol.
33%
J.D. Vance24%
Marco Rubio
Next French Presidential Election
$99.8M vol.
27%
Jordan Bardella21%
Édouard Philippe
Makerfield by-election Winner
$5.6M vol.
75%
Andy Burnham26%
Robert Kenyon
Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?
$4.4M vol.
53%
180-19932%
160-179
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$37.6M vol.
13%
Yes88%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$5.5M vol.
65%
Yes36%
No
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$16.2M vol.
36%
Gadi Eizenkot28%
Benjamin Netanyahu
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
$2.3M vol.
86%
Oil Sanction Relief66%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?
$2.4M vol.
24%
160-17920%
180-199
Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?
$684.3K vol.
57%
40-6442%
<40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$53.4M vol.
10%
December 315%
September 30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$2.9M vol.
31%
Yes70%
No
US and Iran sign an agreement by...?
$495.9K vol.
91%
July 3186%
June 30
Iran leader end of 2026?
$15.3M vol.
84%
Mojtaba Khamenei5%
Reza Pahlavi
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$1.8M vol.
87%
Yes14%
No
Colombia Presidential Election
$37.1M vol.
88%
Abelardo de la Espriella11%
Iván Cepeda Castro
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
$26.7M vol.
14%
December 314%
July 31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
$271.6K vol.
50%
Yes51%
No
